Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.007931 0.009273 0.010870 0.012941 0.015599 0.018959 0.023631
2025-10-05 0.006560 0.008294 0.010610 0.014043 0.019221 0.027150 0.041182
2025-10-12 0.005648 0.007504 0.010175 0.014518 0.021904 0.035124 0.064286
2025-10-19 0.004884 0.006712 0.009483 0.014302 0.023284 0.041555 0.090842
2025-10-26 0.004390 0.006209 0.009094 0.014421 0.025236 0.050224 0.134444
2025-11-02 0.003942 0.005699 0.008581 0.014163 0.026320 0.057698 0.188984
2025-11-09 0.003493 0.005123 0.007861 0.013336 0.025867 0.060963 0.236091
2025-11-16 0.003148 0.004677 0.007298 0.012698 0.025640 0.064884 0.301032
2025-11-23 0.002964 0.004478 0.007147 0.012868 0.027484 0.077215 0.483957
2025-11-30 0.002753 0.004211 0.006831 0.012616 0.028127 0.085988 0.714227
2025-12-07 0.002544 0.003927 0.006449 0.012143 0.027995 0.091686 0.989621
2025-12-14 0.002394 0.003733 0.006218 0.011978 0.028747 0.102631 1.622943
2025-12-21 0.002302 0.003651 0.006226 0.012457 0.032043 0.134152 5.471395
2025-12-28 0.002264 0.003665 0.006435 0.013516 0.038158 0.202600 193.023443
2026-01-04 0.002177 0.003576 0.006413 0.013967 0.042412 0.277540 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002050 0.003399 0.006177 0.013762 0.043822 0.332951 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001959 0.003282 0.006058 0.013875 0.046871 0.436144 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001853 0.003129 0.005837 0.013630 0.048060 0.525021 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001724 0.002918 0.005464 0.012846 0.045970 0.532521 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001617 0.002745 0.005163 0.012239 0.044635 0.558415 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001563 0.002677 0.005104 0.012401 0.047871 0.769362 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001491 0.002567 0.004933 0.012161 0.048586 0.922691 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001413 0.002441 0.004711 0.011711 0.047742 1.005927 NaN